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icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?

200+ 69%

180-199 14%

160-179 11%

140-159 10%

Polymarket
最新

200+ 69%

180-199 14%

160-179 11%

140-159 10%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$333 交易量

1%

20-39

$194 交易量

<1%

40-59

$164 交易量

1%

60-79

$161 交易量

1%

80-99

$147 交易量

1%

100-119

$140 交易量

2%

120-139

$269 交易量

2%

140-159

$565 交易量

10%

160-179

$289 交易量

11%

180-199

$395 交易量

14%

200+

$1,221 交易量

69%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social strongly support the leading 200+ outcome for September 1–8. As president, he has maintained an average of roughly 22 posts per day through much of 2026, with periods exceeding 24 daily and occasional two-hour bursts reaching 46 entries that include originals, reposts, and AI-assisted content. Recent activity through late August shows continued volume tied to foreign policy updates, domestic endorsements, and routine commentary, with no scheduled events in the target window expected to reduce access or shift habits. Traders price lower ranges at progressively smaller shares because sustained daily output near or above historical averages would readily surpass 200 total posts across the eight days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,877
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established posting patterns on Truth Social strongly support the leading 200+ outcome for September 1–8. As president, he has maintained an average of roughly 22 posts per day through much of 2026, with periods exceeding 24 daily and occasional two-hour bursts reaching 46 entries that include originals, reposts, and AI-assisted content. Recent activity through late August shows continued volume tied to foreign policy updates, domestic endorsements, and routine commentary, with no scheduled events in the target window expected to reduce access or shift habits. Traders price lower ranges at progressively smaller shares because sustained daily output near or above historical averages would readily surpass 200 total posts across the eight days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,877
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 69%, followed by "180-199" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?" is "200+" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月1日至9月8日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.