Recent weeks show Elon Musk’s posting volume has cooled to an average near 140–200 posts, following higher 2025 peaks tied to political cycles and company milestones. The September 1–8 window lacks immediate catalysts such as elections or major product launches that historically drove 300-plus weeks, though a Venice Film Festival documentary on September 2 and potential Starship or Tesla updates could spark replies and commentary. Traders therefore price the 160–239 brackets highest, reflecting the current lower baseline while allowing room for modest event-driven spikes. The tight spread among leading outcomes underscores the difficulty of forecasting exact volume in a single week when activity remains highly variable and responsive to breaking news.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
最新
$77,031 交易量
最新
$77,031 交易量
2026-09-08
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
4%
140-159
12%
160-179
15%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
14%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
最新
$77,031 交易量
最新
$77,031 交易量
2026-09-08
<20
$207 交易量
<1%
20-39
$212 交易量
<1%
40-59
$257 交易量
<1%
60-79
$6,444 交易量
<1%
80-99
$6,701 交易量
1%
100-119
$647 交易量
2%
120-139
$506 交易量
4%
140-159
$546 交易量
12%
160-179
$493 交易量
15%
180-199
$4,592 交易量
17%
200-219
$365 交易量
16%
220-239
$344 交易量
14%
240-259
$470 交易量
9%
260-279
$439 交易量
6%
280-299
$1,068 交易量
3%
300-319
$455 交易量
2%
320-339
$2,084 交易量
2%
340-359
$2,359 交易量
1%
360-379
$5,649 交易量
1%
380-399
$6,067 交易量
<1%
400-419
$6,587 交易量
<1%
420-439
$5,517 交易量
<1%
440-459
$5,394 交易量
<1%
460-479
$5,402 交易量
<1%
480-499
$5,402 交易量
<1%
500+
$8,824 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weeks show Elon Musk’s posting volume has cooled to an average near 140–200 posts, following higher 2025 peaks tied to political cycles and company milestones. The September 1–8 window lacks immediate catalysts such as elections or major product launches that historically drove 300-plus weeks, though a Venice Film Festival documentary on September 2 and potential Starship or Tesla updates could spark replies and commentary. Traders therefore price the 160–239 brackets highest, reflecting the current lower baseline while allowing room for modest event-driven spikes. The tight spread among leading outcomes underscores the difficulty of forecasting exact volume in a single week when activity remains highly variable and responsive to breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$77,031結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weeks show Elon Musk’s posting volume has cooled to an average near 140–200 posts, following higher 2025 peaks tied to political cycles and company milestones. The September 1–8 window lacks immediate catalysts such as elections or major product launches that historically drove 300-plus weeks, though a Venice Film Festival documentary on September 2 and potential Starship or Tesla updates could spark replies and commentary. Traders therefore price the 160–239 brackets highest, reflecting the current lower baseline while allowing room for modest event-driven spikes. The tight spread among leading outcomes underscores the difficulty of forecasting exact volume in a single week when activity remains highly variable and responsive to breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$77,031結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETRecent weeks show Elon Musk’s posting volume has cooled to an average near 140–200 posts, following higher 2025 peaks tied to political cycles and company milestones. The September 1–8 window lacks immediate catalysts such as elections or major product launches that historically drove 300-plus weeks, though a Venice Film Festival documentary on September 2 and potential Starship or Tesla updates could spark replies and commentary. Traders therefore price the 160–239 brackets highest, reflecting the current lower baseline while allowing room for modest event-driven spikes. The tight spread among leading outcomes underscores the difficulty of forecasting exact volume in a single week when activity remains highly variable and responsive to breaking news.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions