The market assigns an 82.5% implied probability to fewer than 20 million views in the first week for Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look primarily because the 26–27 minute in-game presentation debuted exclusively on Netflix for six hours before landing on Rockstar’s YouTube channel. This longer, gameplay-heavy format and staggered rollout contrast sharply with the short, high-virality trailers that previously drove hundreds of millions of views quickly. Traders appear to be pricing in fragmented initial reach, potential viewer fatigue after multiple prior reveals, and slower accumulation typical of extended promotional videos rather than concise hype content. Momentum will hinge on organic sharing, creator reactions, and platform algorithm performance through the end of the tracking week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於第1週俠盜獵車手VI延伸外觀的觀看次數?
少於2,000萬 83%
2000萬-2200萬 18%
2200-2400萬 1.4%
2800-3000萬 <1%
$64,017 交易量
$64,017 交易量
少於2,000萬
83%
2000萬-2200萬
18%
2200-2400萬
1%
2400萬至2600萬
1%
2600萬-2800萬
1%
2800-3000萬
1%
3,000萬-3,200萬
1%
3200-3400萬
1%
3,400萬~3,600萬
<1%
3600萬-3800萬
<1%
3800-4000萬
<1%
4,000萬+
1%
少於2,000萬 83%
2000萬-2200萬 18%
2200-2400萬 1.4%
2800-3000萬 <1%
$64,017 交易量
$64,017 交易量
少於2,000萬
83%
2000萬-2200萬
18%
2200-2400萬
1%
2400萬至2600萬
1%
2600萬-2800萬
1%
2800-3000萬
1%
3,000萬-3,200萬
1%
3200-3400萬
1%
3,400萬~3,600萬
<1%
3600萬-3800萬
<1%
3800-4000萬
<1%
4,000萬+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)
The market assigns an 82.5% implied probability to fewer than 20 million views in the first week for Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look primarily because the 26–27 minute in-game presentation debuted exclusively on Netflix for six hours before landing on Rockstar’s YouTube channel. This longer, gameplay-heavy format and staggered rollout contrast sharply with the short, high-virality trailers that previously drove hundreds of millions of views quickly. Traders appear to be pricing in fragmented initial reach, potential viewer fatigue after multiple prior reveals, and slower accumulation typical of extended promotional videos rather than concise hype content. Momentum will hinge on organic sharing, creator reactions, and platform algorithm performance through the end of the tracking week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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