Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
最新
$17,116 交易量
最新
$17,116 交易量
2026-09-01
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
5%
160-179
8%
180-199
12%
200-219
12%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
11%
280-299
7%
300-319
5%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
最新
$17,116 交易量
最新
$17,116 交易量
2026-09-01
<20
$1,571 交易量
<1%
20-39
$1,571 交易量
<1%
40-59
$571 交易量
<1%
60-79
$3,576 交易量
<1%
80-99
$441 交易量
1%
100-119
$437 交易量
1%
120-139
$284 交易量
3%
140-159
$265 交易量
5%
160-179
$531 交易量
8%
180-199
$88 交易量
12%
200-219
$469 交易量
12%
220-239
$816 交易量
14%
240-259
$1,116 交易量
13%
260-279
$612 交易量
11%
280-299
$167 交易量
7%
300-319
$75 交易量
5%
320-339
$92 交易量
3%
340-359
$243 交易量
2%
360-379
$416 交易量
2%
380-399
$741 交易量
2%
400-419
$673 交易量
2%
420-439
$792 交易量
1%
440-459
$251 交易量
1%
460-479
$244 交易量
1%
480-499
$373 交易量
1%
500+
$700 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$17,116結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$17,116結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of August 25–September 1 as highly variable, with market-implied odds spread across multiple bins and the narrowest edge to the 220–239 range at 13.5%. This reflects uncertainty over his baseline posting cadence on X, which fluctuates with news cycles, company developments at Tesla and xAI, and real-time commentary on cultural or political topics. Historical patterns show spikes during high-profile events or platform updates, yet the closely matched probabilities around 180–279 indicate no clear catalyst has emerged to consolidate sentiment. Upcoming earnings, product launches, or viral moments could still shift engagement, underscoring how personal posting rhythms remain difficult to forecast precisely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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