Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X has moderated following a high-volume stretch earlier in August, positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 51.5% implied probability for the August 22–24 window. Traders appear to be pricing in a steady weekend pace of roughly 15–25 posts daily, consistent with recent tracked days that featured business updates on Starship and routine replies rather than sustained political or viral surges. The secondary <40 bin at 28.5% captures the possibility of quieter personal or travel-related slowdowns, while higher brackets remain thin as no major announcements or controversies have materialized to accelerate activity. Historical patterns show Musk’s output fluctuates sharply with company milestones or news cycles, leaving room for last-minute shifts before the Monday close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 52%
少於40 29%
65-89 20%
90-114 2.5%
$187,578 交易量
$187,578 交易量
2026-08-24
少於40
29%
40-64
52%
65-89
20%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
少於40 29%
65-89 20%
90-114 2.5%
$187,578 交易量
$187,578 交易量
2026-08-24
少於40
$29,839 交易量
29%
40-64
$23,221 交易量
52%
65-89
$17,002 交易量
20%
90-114
$28,901 交易量
2%
115-139
$37,845 交易量
1%
140-164
$15,478 交易量
<1%
165-189
$15,854 交易量
<1%
190-214
$12,601 交易量
<1%
215-239
$8,044 交易量
<1%
240+
$4,452 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X has moderated following a high-volume stretch earlier in August, positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 51.5% implied probability for the August 22–24 window. Traders appear to be pricing in a steady weekend pace of roughly 15–25 posts daily, consistent with recent tracked days that featured business updates on Starship and routine replies rather than sustained political or viral surges. The secondary <40 bin at 28.5% captures the possibility of quieter personal or travel-related slowdowns, while higher brackets remain thin as no major announcements or controversies have materialized to accelerate activity. Historical patterns show Musk’s output fluctuates sharply with company milestones or news cycles, leaving room for last-minute shifts before the Monday close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$187,578結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X has moderated following a high-volume stretch earlier in August, positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 51.5% implied probability for the August 22–24 window. Traders appear to be pricing in a steady weekend pace of roughly 15–25 posts daily, consistent with recent tracked days that featured business updates on Starship and routine replies rather than sustained political or viral surges. The secondary <40 bin at 28.5% captures the possibility of quieter personal or travel-related slowdowns, while higher brackets remain thin as no major announcements or controversies have materialized to accelerate activity. Historical patterns show Musk’s output fluctuates sharply with company milestones or news cycles, leaving room for last-minute shifts before the Monday close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$187,578結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X has moderated following a high-volume stretch earlier in August, positioning the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 51.5% implied probability for the August 22–24 window. Traders appear to be pricing in a steady weekend pace of roughly 15–25 posts daily, consistent with recent tracked days that featured business updates on Starship and routine replies rather than sustained political or viral surges. The secondary <40 bin at 28.5% captures the possibility of quieter personal or travel-related slowdowns, while higher brackets remain thin as no major announcements or controversies have materialized to accelerate activity. Historical patterns show Musk’s output fluctuates sharply with company milestones or news cycles, leaving room for last-minute shifts before the Monday close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions