Spider-Man: Brand New Day's fourth-weekend performance hinges on its exceptional early momentum—record $360 million domestic opening, $144 million second weekend, and $70 million third frame—offset by the steep drops typical for tentpoles after the first three weeks. Traders see the 35-41 million range as most likely because the film's 2.21 legs to date signal solid audience retention and word-of-mouth, yet comparable superhero sequels often shed another 45-55 percent by week four amid rising competition and seasonal shifts. The tight spread between the leading bins reflects uncertainty over daily holds, any late promotional bumps, and whether the August 21-23 frame benefits from sustained buzz or faces headwinds from new releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第4週末票房
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第4週末票房
3500萬-3800萬 44%
3800-4100萬 42%
4100萬-4400萬 30%
4400萬以上 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
少於3500萬
15%
3500萬-3800萬
44%
3800-4100萬
42%
4100萬-4400萬
30%
4400萬以上
17%
3500萬-3800萬 44%
3800-4100萬 42%
4100萬-4400萬 30%
4400萬以上 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
少於3500萬
$2,605 交易量
15%
3500萬-3800萬
$0 交易量
44%
3800-4100萬
$0 交易量
42%
4100萬-4400萬
$0 交易量
30%
4400萬以上
$0 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's fourth-weekend performance hinges on its exceptional early momentum—record $360 million domestic opening, $144 million second weekend, and $70 million third frame—offset by the steep drops typical for tentpoles after the first three weeks. Traders see the 35-41 million range as most likely because the film's 2.21 legs to date signal solid audience retention and word-of-mouth, yet comparable superhero sequels often shed another 45-55 percent by week four amid rising competition and seasonal shifts. The tight spread between the leading bins reflects uncertainty over daily holds, any late promotional bumps, and whether the August 21-23 frame benefits from sustained buzz or faces headwinds from new releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,605結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's fourth-weekend performance hinges on its exceptional early momentum—record $360 million domestic opening, $144 million second weekend, and $70 million third frame—offset by the steep drops typical for tentpoles after the first three weeks. Traders see the 35-41 million range as most likely because the film's 2.21 legs to date signal solid audience retention and word-of-mouth, yet comparable superhero sequels often shed another 45-55 percent by week four amid rising competition and seasonal shifts. The tight spread between the leading bins reflects uncertainty over daily holds, any late promotional bumps, and whether the August 21-23 frame benefits from sustained buzz or faces headwinds from new releases.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,605結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's fourth-weekend performance hinges on its exceptional early momentum—record $360 million domestic opening, $144 million second weekend, and $70 million third frame—offset by the steep drops typical for tentpoles after the first three weeks. Traders see the 35-41 million range as most likely because the film's 2.21 legs to date signal solid audience retention and word-of-mouth, yet comparable superhero sequels often shed another 45-55 percent by week four amid rising competition and seasonal shifts. The tight spread between the leading bins reflects uncertainty over daily holds, any late promotional bumps, and whether the August 21-23 frame benefits from sustained buzz or faces headwinds from new releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions