Skip to main content
icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?

200+ 56%

180-199 19%

160-179 14%

140-159 6%

Polymarket
最新

200+ 56%

180-199 19%

160-179 14%

140-159 6%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$183 交易量

1%

20-39

$175 交易量

<1%

40-59

$85 交易量

1%

60-79

$25 交易量

3%

80-99

$10 交易量

3%

100-119

$10 交易量

3%

120-139

$10 交易量

5%

140-159

$0 交易量

6%

160-179

$35 交易量

14%

180-199

$64 交易量

19%

200+

$529 交易量

56%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump maintains a high-volume Truth Social presence as president, averaging 19–22 posts per day in 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy updates, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent mid-August activity shows elevated output amid active foreign-policy engagement, including economic measures on Iran and tariff statements, patterns that have historically driven weekly totals well above baseline. The August 25–September 1 window includes the South Carolina Senate runoff, routine White House communications, and ongoing catalysts that traders view as supportive of sustained volume. This underpins the leading 200+ outcome at 56 percent implied probability, ahead of the 180–199 band at 19 percent, reflecting crowd consensus on continued posting intensity rather than quieter periods observed in prior intervals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,126
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump maintains a high-volume Truth Social presence as president, averaging 19–22 posts per day in 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy updates, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent mid-August activity shows elevated output amid active foreign-policy engagement, including economic measures on Iran and tariff statements, patterns that have historically driven weekly totals well above baseline. The August 25–September 1 window includes the South Carolina Senate runoff, routine White House communications, and ongoing catalysts that traders view as supportive of sustained volume. This underpins the leading 200+ outcome at 56 percent implied probability, ahead of the 180–199 band at 19 percent, reflecting crowd consensus on continued posting intensity rather than quieter periods observed in prior intervals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,126
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 56%, followed by "180-199" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?" is "200+" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月25日至9月1日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.