Trump's established posting patterns on Truth Social, including an average of roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026 alongside frequent late-night or single-day blitzes exceeding 100 or even 160 entries, underpin trader expectations for elevated volume during the August 21-28 window. Ongoing policy announcements, international developments such as the Iran conflict, and domestic priorities continue to drive daily activity, with recent premium access services and related legal scrutiny highlighting the platform's role in real-time communications. These factors align with the 53.5% consensus on 200+ posts, while lower bins reflect the possibility of moderated output absent major catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200+ 69%
180-199 19%
20-39 10.3%
<20 9%
<20
9%
20-39
10%
40-59
6%
60-79
6%
80-99
6%
100-119
6%
120-139
6%
140-159
33%
160-179
33%
180-199
14%
200+
53%
200+ 69%
180-199 19%
20-39 10.3%
<20 9%
<20
9%
20-39
10%
40-59
6%
60-79
6%
80-99
6%
100-119
6%
120-139
6%
140-159
33%
160-179
33%
180-199
14%
200+
53%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump's established posting patterns on Truth Social, including an average of roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026 alongside frequent late-night or single-day blitzes exceeding 100 or even 160 entries, underpin trader expectations for elevated volume during the August 21-28 window. Ongoing policy announcements, international developments such as the Iran conflict, and domestic priorities continue to drive daily activity, with recent premium access services and related legal scrutiny highlighting the platform's role in real-time communications. These factors align with the 53.5% consensus on 200+ posts, while lower bins reflect the possibility of moderated output absent major catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions