Skip to main content
icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?

40-64 53%

65-89 23%

少於40 21%

90-114 4.9%

Polymarket
最新

40-64 53%

65-89 23%

少於40 21%

90-114 4.9%

Polymarket
最新

少於40

$429 交易量

21%

40-64

$2,505 交易量

53%

65-89

$1,001 交易量

23%

90-114

$297 交易量

5%

115-139

$1,072 交易量

2%

140-164

$1,508 交易量

1%

165-189

$1,166 交易量

<1%

190-214

$226 交易量

<1%

215-239

$226 交易量

<1%

240以上

$244 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's posting volume on X typically averages 30-50 posts per day in recent months, according to multiple trackers, though weekend rates often trend lower amid lighter news cycles.** For the Aug 31–Sep 2 window (Labor Day weekend), the market's heavy weighting toward 40-64 total tweets reflects trader expectations of a subdued pace without major catalysts like product launches, political developments, or viral controversies to accelerate activity. Recent August data shows fluctuations between roughly 20-50 daily posts depending on the exact definition (originals vs. replies/reposts), with no sustained spikes evident in the final days of the month. Higher ranges above 90 remain discounted because historical patterns and the absence of breaking events make outlier volume unlikely absent sudden external triggers. The tight clustering around mid-range buckets underscores the consensus that routine engagement will dominate the short holiday period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$8,623
結束日期
2026-09-02
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's posting volume on X typically averages 30-50 posts per day in recent months, according to multiple trackers, though weekend rates often trend lower amid lighter news cycles.** For the Aug 31–Sep 2 window (Labor Day weekend), the market's heavy weighting toward 40-64 total tweets reflects trader expectations of a subdued pace without major catalysts like product launches, political developments, or viral controversies to accelerate activity. Recent August data shows fluctuations between roughly 20-50 daily posts depending on the exact definition (originals vs. replies/reposts), with no sustained spikes evident in the final days of the month. Higher ranges above 90 remain discounted because historical patterns and the absence of breaking events make outlier volume unlikely absent sudden external triggers. The tight clustering around mid-range buckets underscores the consensus that routine engagement will dominate the short holiday period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$8,623
結束日期
2026-09-02
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40-64" at 53%, followed by "65-89" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?" is "40-64" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "65-89" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月31日至9月2日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.