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icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?

紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?

icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?

紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?

20-39 80%

40-59 15%

<20 4.7%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket
最新

20-39 80%

40-59 15%

<20 4.7%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$73 交易量

5%

20-39

$665 交易量

80%

40-59

$93 交易量

15%

60-79

$67 交易量

1%

80-99

$67 交易量

1%

100-119

$24 交易量

1%

120-139

$31 交易量

1%

140-159

$46 交易量

1%

160-179

$46 交易量

1%

180-199

$46 交易量

1%

200+

$46 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The NYC Mayor’s official X account (@NYCMayor) under Mayor Zohran Mamdani has maintained steady but not intensive posting volume in recent weeks, with multiple policy, community, and preparedness updates appearing on most days.** This pattern aligns with the heavy market weighting on 20-39 posts for the September 1–8 window, reflecting traders’ assessment of a consistent institutional cadence rather than high-volume campaign-style output or minimal activity. Mamdani’s recent posts have centered on routine governance topics such as park maintenance crews, hurricane-season alerts, school-break programming, infrastructure repairs, and community events, without evidence of an imminent surge from scheduled milestones or crises. The period includes Labor Day on September 7, which could modestly elevate visibility around city services but has not historically driven outsized volume on the account. Eric Adams’ separate personal account shows lower frequency, further supporting expectations that official output will remain in the moderate range observed under the current administration. No major breaking developments or procedural changes appear positioned to shift the posting rate outside this band in the near term.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,205
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The NYC Mayor’s official X account (@NYCMayor) under Mayor Zohran Mamdani has maintained steady but not intensive posting volume in recent weeks, with multiple policy, community, and preparedness updates appearing on most days.** This pattern aligns with the heavy market weighting on 20-39 posts for the September 1–8 window, reflecting traders’ assessment of a consistent institutional cadence rather than high-volume campaign-style output or minimal activity. Mamdani’s recent posts have centered on routine governance topics such as park maintenance crews, hurricane-season alerts, school-break programming, infrastructure repairs, and community events, without evidence of an imminent surge from scheduled milestones or crises. The period includes Labor Day on September 7, which could modestly elevate visibility around city services but has not historically driven outsized volume on the account. Eric Adams’ separate personal account shows lower frequency, further supporting expectations that official output will remain in the moderate range observed under the current administration. No major breaking developments or procedural changes appear positioned to shift the posting rate outside this band in the near term.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,205
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 80%, followed by "40-59" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?" is "20-39" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長#職位2026年9月1日至9月8日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.