Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied position at 40% for the top Text Arena Math model by end of October 2026, driven by its recent Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 4-6/4-7 releases that currently lead arena.ai overall and math-specific leaderboards through superior reasoning benchmarks. DeepSeek at 20% and ByteDance at 16.5% reflect ongoing competitive pressure from specialized math-optimized models and rapid iteration by Chinese labs, while Meta at 15% benefits from open-weight scaling. Lower odds for OpenAI and Google underscore recent shortfalls in pure mathematical arenas despite broad capabilities. With the field tightly contested, new model drops or benchmark updates before October could quickly shift the aggregated trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDeepSeek 20%
Meta 12%
ByteDance 12%
Microsoft 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
DeepSeek
20%
Meta
12%
ByteDance
12%
Microsoft
10%
Tencent
9%
Mistral
8%
OpenAI
8%
Amazon
5%
StepFun
5%
Alibaba
5%
MiniMax
5%
SpaceXAI
5%
Baidu
4%
Moonshot
4%
3%
Xiaomi
2%
Z.ai
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
Anthropic
40%
DeepSeek 20%
Meta 12%
ByteDance 12%
Microsoft 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
DeepSeek
$159 KL.
20%
Meta
$103 KL.
12%
ByteDance
$82 KL.
12%
Microsoft
$77 KL.
10%
Tencent
$149 KL.
9%
Mistral
$127 KL.
8%
OpenAI
$102 KL.
8%
Amazon
$147 KL.
5%
StepFun
$121 KL.
5%
Alibaba
$93 KL.
5%
MiniMax
$115 KL.
5%
SpaceXAI
$95 KL.
5%
Baidu
$77 KL.
4%
Moonshot
$93 KL.
4%
$103 KL.
3%
Xiaomi
$206 KL.
2%
Z.ai
$102 KL.
1%
Nvidia
$110 KL.
1%
Meituan
$130 KL.
1%
Anthropic
$138 KL.
40%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied position at 40% for the top Text Arena Math model by end of October 2026, driven by its recent Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 4-6/4-7 releases that currently lead arena.ai overall and math-specific leaderboards through superior reasoning benchmarks. DeepSeek at 20% and ByteDance at 16.5% reflect ongoing competitive pressure from specialized math-optimized models and rapid iteration by Chinese labs, while Meta at 15% benefits from open-weight scaling. Lower odds for OpenAI and Google underscore recent shortfalls in pure mathematical arenas despite broad capabilities. With the field tightly contested, new model drops or benchmark updates before October could quickly shift the aggregated trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,332Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied position at 40% for the top Text Arena Math model by end of October 2026, driven by its recent Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 4-6/4-7 releases that currently lead arena.ai overall and math-specific leaderboards through superior reasoning benchmarks. DeepSeek at 20% and ByteDance at 16.5% reflect ongoing competitive pressure from specialized math-optimized models and rapid iteration by Chinese labs, while Meta at 15% benefits from open-weight scaling. Lower odds for OpenAI and Google underscore recent shortfalls in pure mathematical arenas despite broad capabilities. With the field tightly contested, new model drops or benchmark updates before October could quickly shift the aggregated trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$2,332Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied position at 40% for the top Text Arena Math model by end of October 2026, driven by its recent Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 4-6/4-7 releases that currently lead arena.ai overall and math-specific leaderboards through superior reasoning benchmarks. DeepSeek at 20% and ByteDance at 16.5% reflect ongoing competitive pressure from specialized math-optimized models and rapid iteration by Chinese labs, while Meta at 15% benefits from open-weight scaling. Lower odds for OpenAI and Google underscore recent shortfalls in pure mathematical arenas despite broad capabilities. With the field tightly contested, new model drops or benchmark updates before October could quickly shift the aggregated trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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