The tight race for second place in Text Arena's math category reflects a fragmented competitive landscape among frontier labs, with no single contender dominating recent Elo shifts on arena.ai benchmarks. Chinese developers such as DeepSeek, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba have closed gaps through efficient mixture-of-experts architectures and strong performance on MATH and related reasoning tasks, while Western labs like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, Anthropic's Claude family, and Google's Gemini models trade incremental gains in chain-of-thought capabilities. Trader sentiment remains balanced because historical release cycles show rapid leaderboard movement within two-to-three months, and upcoming model updates or fine-tunes could easily reorder the top labs before October resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 12%
Z.ai 11%
MiniMax 9%
StepFun 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
12%
Z.ai
11%
MiniMax
9%
StepFun
8%
Nvidia
8%
Meta
7%
Meituan
7%
Amazon
7%
ByteDance
7%
Anthropic
7%
Alibaba
7%
Moonshot
7%
SpaceXAI
6%
Baidu
6%
Microsoft
6%
OpenAI
5%
Xiaomi
5%
DeepSeek
5%
Tencent
5%
Mistral
3%
Google 12%
Z.ai 11%
MiniMax 9%
StepFun 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
$27 KL.
12%
Z.ai
$27 KL.
11%
MiniMax
$32 KL.
9%
StepFun
$27 KL.
8%
Nvidia
$100 KL.
8%
Meta
$32 KL.
7%
Meituan
$77 KL.
7%
Amazon
$96 KL.
7%
ByteDance
$60 KL.
7%
Anthropic
$62 KL.
7%
Alibaba
$62 KL.
7%
Moonshot
$32 KL.
7%
SpaceXAI
$27 KL.
6%
Baidu
$32 KL.
6%
Microsoft
$207 KL.
6%
OpenAI
$22 KL.
5%
Xiaomi
$32 KL.
5%
DeepSeek
$27 KL.
5%
Tencent
$100 KL.
5%
Mistral
$62 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight race for second place in Text Arena's math category reflects a fragmented competitive landscape among frontier labs, with no single contender dominating recent Elo shifts on arena.ai benchmarks. Chinese developers such as DeepSeek, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba have closed gaps through efficient mixture-of-experts architectures and strong performance on MATH and related reasoning tasks, while Western labs like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, Anthropic's Claude family, and Google's Gemini models trade incremental gains in chain-of-thought capabilities. Trader sentiment remains balanced because historical release cycles show rapid leaderboard movement within two-to-three months, and upcoming model updates or fine-tunes could easily reorder the top labs before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,141Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight race for second place in Text Arena's math category reflects a fragmented competitive landscape among frontier labs, with no single contender dominating recent Elo shifts on arena.ai benchmarks. Chinese developers such as DeepSeek, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba have closed gaps through efficient mixture-of-experts architectures and strong performance on MATH and related reasoning tasks, while Western labs like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, Anthropic's Claude family, and Google's Gemini models trade incremental gains in chain-of-thought capabilities. Trader sentiment remains balanced because historical release cycles show rapid leaderboard movement within two-to-three months, and upcoming model updates or fine-tunes could easily reorder the top labs before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$1,141Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight race for second place in Text Arena's math category reflects a fragmented competitive landscape among frontier labs, with no single contender dominating recent Elo shifts on arena.ai benchmarks. Chinese developers such as DeepSeek, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba have closed gaps through efficient mixture-of-experts architectures and strong performance on MATH and related reasoning tasks, while Western labs like OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, Anthropic's Claude family, and Google's Gemini models trade incremental gains in chain-of-thought capabilities. Trader sentiment remains balanced because historical release cycles show rapid leaderboard movement within two-to-three months, and upcoming model updates or fine-tunes could easily reorder the top labs before October resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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