Anthropic’s Claude lineup, including recent Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases, currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with reported scores of 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by gains in tool-augmented reasoning, adaptive thinking, and agentic capabilities on the 2,500-question expert benchmark. These iterative improvements have outpaced competitors such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~58.7%) and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%), reflecting Anthropic’s emphasis on high-effort evaluation conditions and decontamination practices. With several months remaining in 2026, further Claude updates or scaling could push the highest score higher before year-end resolution, while benchmark saturation risks and evaluation methodology shifts remain key variables for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$96,744 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
89%
60%+
51%
65%+
21%
70%+
7%
75%+
4%
$96,744 KL.
55%+
$21,733 KL.
89%
60%+
$42,078 KL.
51%
65%+
$27,768 KL.
21%
70%+
$3,859 KL.
7%
75%+
$1,306 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude lineup, including recent Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases, currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with reported scores of 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by gains in tool-augmented reasoning, adaptive thinking, and agentic capabilities on the 2,500-question expert benchmark. These iterative improvements have outpaced competitors such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~58.7%) and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%), reflecting Anthropic’s emphasis on high-effort evaluation conditions and decontamination practices. With several months remaining in 2026, further Claude updates or scaling could push the highest score higher before year-end resolution, while benchmark saturation risks and evaluation methodology shifts remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$96,744Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude lineup, including recent Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases, currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with reported scores of 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by gains in tool-augmented reasoning, adaptive thinking, and agentic capabilities on the 2,500-question expert benchmark. These iterative improvements have outpaced competitors such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~58.7%) and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%), reflecting Anthropic’s emphasis on high-effort evaluation conditions and decontamination practices. With several months remaining in 2026, further Claude updates or scaling could push the highest score higher before year-end resolution, while benchmark saturation risks and evaluation methodology shifts remain key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Khối lượng
$96,744Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude lineup, including recent Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases, currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboards with reported scores of 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by gains in tool-augmented reasoning, adaptive thinking, and agentic capabilities on the 2,500-question expert benchmark. These iterative improvements have outpaced competitors such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~58.7%) and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%), reflecting Anthropic’s emphasis on high-effort evaluation conditions and decontamination practices. With several months remaining in 2026, further Claude updates or scaling could push the highest score higher before year-end resolution, while benchmark saturation risks and evaluation methodology shifts remain key variables for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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