**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C low for Taipei on August 30, 2026, at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecasts from Central Weather Bureau models and international guidance showing overnight minima of 26–27°C.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly flow limit radiative cooling while scattered showers and thunderstorms moderate daytime peaks around 33–35°C. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical daily lows hover near 25–26°C amid monsoon influences. Lower outcomes below 25°C remain improbable without an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly air, while any brief clearing could allow minor dips but is unlikely to shift the minimum materially before resolution. Upcoming evening observations and updated model runs will provide the final confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
26°C 91%
25°C 18%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
91%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 91%
25°C 18%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
91%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C low for Taipei on August 30, 2026, at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecasts from Central Weather Bureau models and international guidance showing overnight minima of 26–27°C.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly flow limit radiative cooling while scattered showers and thunderstorms moderate daytime peaks around 33–35°C. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical daily lows hover near 25–26°C amid monsoon influences. Lower outcomes below 25°C remain improbable without an unforecasted surge of cooler northerly air, while any brief clearing could allow minor dips but is unlikely to shift the minimum materially before resolution. Upcoming evening observations and updated model runs will provide the final confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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