Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 23 centers on 13–14°C outcomes because official forecasts from INMET and regional models converged on overnight lows in this range amid typical austral winter high-pressure conditions. Climatological baselines show August minima averaging 13–16°C at São Paulo stations, with limited frontal activity or cold-air advection preventing deeper drops. Recent observations and model runs indicated clear skies and light winds that allowed radiational cooling to reach the mid-teens Celsius without extreme plunges, while the market resolution hinges on the precise NOAA or INMET reading at the Guarulhos or Congonhas reference station. This narrow clustering reflects both historical precedent and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing that could shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
13°C 45%
12°C 3%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
$1,177 KL.
$1,177 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
45%
14°C
56%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 3%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
$1,177 KL.
$1,177 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$120 KL.
1%
9°C
$5 KL.
2%
10°C
$5 KL.
2%
11°C
$15 KL.
1%
12°C
$35 KL.
3%
13°C
$0 KL.
45%
14°C
$21 KL.
56%
15°C
$90 KL.
<1%
16°C
$590 KL.
<1%
17°C
$115 KL.
<1%
18°C or higher
$181 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 23 centers on 13–14°C outcomes because official forecasts from INMET and regional models converged on overnight lows in this range amid typical austral winter high-pressure conditions. Climatological baselines show August minima averaging 13–16°C at São Paulo stations, with limited frontal activity or cold-air advection preventing deeper drops. Recent observations and model runs indicated clear skies and light winds that allowed radiational cooling to reach the mid-teens Celsius without extreme plunges, while the market resolution hinges on the precise NOAA or INMET reading at the Guarulhos or Congonhas reference station. This narrow clustering reflects both historical precedent and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing that could shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,177Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 23 centers on 13–14°C outcomes because official forecasts from INMET and regional models converged on overnight lows in this range amid typical austral winter high-pressure conditions. Climatological baselines show August minima averaging 13–16°C at São Paulo stations, with limited frontal activity or cold-air advection preventing deeper drops. Recent observations and model runs indicated clear skies and light winds that allowed radiational cooling to reach the mid-teens Celsius without extreme plunges, while the market resolution hinges on the precise NOAA or INMET reading at the Guarulhos or Congonhas reference station. This narrow clustering reflects both historical precedent and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing that could shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,177Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 23 centers on 13–14°C outcomes because official forecasts from INMET and regional models converged on overnight lows in this range amid typical austral winter high-pressure conditions. Climatological baselines show August minima averaging 13–16°C at São Paulo stations, with limited frontal activity or cold-air advection preventing deeper drops. Recent observations and model runs indicated clear skies and light winds that allowed radiational cooling to reach the mid-teens Celsius without extreme plunges, while the market resolution hinges on the precise NOAA or INMET reading at the Guarulhos or Congonhas reference station. This narrow clustering reflects both historical precedent and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing that could shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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