**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures. Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
24°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$12,302 KL.
$12,302 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$12,302 KL.
$12,302 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$430 KL.
<1%
21°C
$703 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,466 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,824 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,850 KL.
100%
25°C
$2,087 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,139 KL.
<1%
27°C
$255 KL.
<1%
28°C
$312 KL.
<1%
29°C
$300 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$936 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures.
Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,302Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures.
Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,302Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures. Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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