Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including those showing a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, form the core driver of trader consensus for Qingdao’s August 30 high. Coastal location and typical late-summer conditions—persistent marine influence and cloud cover limiting solar heating—align with observed hourly readings stabilizing near 26°C and climatological baselines around 28–29°C for the period. This evidence underpins the 98.5% implied probability for 27°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 28°C, while unexpected increased cloudiness or measurement adjustments at official stations remain low-probability alternatives that could alter resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
27°C 99%
28°C 3%
29°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$19,231 KL.
$19,231 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99%
28°C 3%
29°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$19,231 KL.
$19,231 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including those showing a daily maximum of 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, form the core driver of trader consensus for Qingdao’s August 30 high. Coastal location and typical late-summer conditions—persistent marine influence and cloud cover limiting solar heating—align with observed hourly readings stabilizing near 26°C and climatological baselines around 28–29°C for the period. This evidence underpins the 98.5% implied probability for 27°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 28°C, while unexpected increased cloudiness or measurement adjustments at official stations remain low-probability alternatives that could alter resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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