Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate sunny, hot conditions for Austin on August 25 with highs near 103–105°F under southerly flow, following a heat wave that produced a 107°F reading on August 23. This ongoing ridge and dry spell support the elevated market-implied odds around 112–113°F or higher, as traders weigh potential for additional intensification against typical late-August climatology near 96°F. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing and dew points creates uncertainty between the 95°F-or-below bucket and extreme tails, with resolution hinging on official observations at stations like Austin-Bergstrom. No major shifts appear imminent before the measurement window closes.