**Zambia’s August 13, 2026 general election produced an official turnout of 57.23 percent from 8.79 million registered voters, placing the result squarely in the 50–60 percent band.** The Electoral Commission of Zambia (ECZ) reported roughly 5.03 million total ballots cast, including a modest share of rejected votes, after polls closed at 6 p.m. local time. This figure aligns with historical patterns for Zambian presidential contests and reflects standard factors such as urban-rural turnout gaps, voter enthusiasm following the 2021 transition, and the absence of major weather or logistical disruptions on election day. International observers noted generally orderly polling, which supported steady participation without extraordinary mobilization or suppression claims altering aggregate numbers. Because the election has concluded and preliminary ECZ tallies are public, trader consensus at 95.4 percent for 50–60 percent reflects the alignment between reported results and the market’s resolution criteria. Late revisions to the final certified turnout, disputes over constituency-level verification, or changes in how rejected ballots are counted remain the only realistic pathways that could shift the outcome, though such adjustments have historically stayed within a few percentage points. The market will resolve once the ECZ issues its conclusive national turnout statistic.