Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$30,993 Обс.
$30,993 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$30,993 Обс.
$30,993 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,637 Обс.
97%
Republican Party
$11,356 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,993Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$30,993Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The 2026 race became an open seat after incumbent Dwight Evans opted against another term, prompting a Democratic primary that produced nominee Christopher Rabb. Republican and independent challengers face structural barriers including limited fundraising, weak organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would represent the narrow pathways for any meaningful change before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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