Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low on August 5 in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 78-79°F and 80-81°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical maritime air, elevated dew points near 75°F, and the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream limit radiative cooling, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and light winds further stabilize minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms of 78-81°F. No incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns appear likely to drive deviations, keeping trader consensus anchored to these ranges with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow historical variability for early August. Updated NWS model runs and local observations on the morning of August 5 will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low on August 5 in the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 78-79°F and 80-81°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical maritime air, elevated dew points near 75°F, and the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream limit radiative cooling, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and light winds further stabilize minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms of 78-81°F. No incoming cold fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns appear likely to drive deviations, keeping trader consensus anchored to these ranges with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow historical variability for early August. Updated NWS model runs and local observations on the morning of August 5 will provide the final resolution data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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