Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a continuation of the early August heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum likely between 31–34°C on August 6 amid southerly flow and strong high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief spikes toward 34°C if skies clear earlier. Historical climatology places normal early-August highs near 24–26°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while short-range updates from European models remain the key variable that could shift trader-implied probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
31°C 16%
34°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
26%
33°C
31%
34°C
13%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
31°C 16%
34°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$289 Обс.
3%
30°C
$253 Обс.
4%
31°C
$230 Обс.
16%
32°C
$292 Обс.
26%
33°C
$2,355 Обс.
31%
34°C
$392 Обс.
13%
35°C
$344 Обс.
7%
36°C
$26 Обс.
1%
37°C
$31 Обс.
1%
38°C
$179 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$300 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a continuation of the early August heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum likely between 31–34°C on August 6 amid southerly flow and strong high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief spikes toward 34°C if skies clear earlier. Historical climatology places normal early-August highs near 24–26°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while short-range updates from European models remain the key variable that could shift trader-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,690Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a continuation of the early August heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum likely between 31–34°C on August 6 amid southerly flow and strong high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief spikes toward 34°C if skies clear earlier. Historical climatology places normal early-August highs near 24–26°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while short-range updates from European models remain the key variable that could shift trader-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,690Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate a continuation of the early August heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum likely between 31–34°C on August 6 amid southerly flow and strong high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief spikes toward 34°C if skies clear earlier. Historical climatology places normal early-August highs near 24–26°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while short-range updates from European models remain the key variable that could shift trader-implied probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання