Short-range forecasts from regional models point to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima. Historical early-August climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C with low day-to-day variability absent strong heat advection or Saharan intrusions. Recent ensemble runs maintain this range with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C while leaving modest probability for a 33°C outlier if afternoon mixing strengthens. No major synoptic shifts are indicated before resolution, keeping implied odds aligned with stable summer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 54%
33°C 30%
31°C 11%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
54%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 30%
31°C 11%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
54%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from regional models point to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima. Historical early-August climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C with low day-to-day variability absent strong heat advection or Saharan intrusions. Recent ensemble runs maintain this range with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C while leaving modest probability for a 33°C outlier if afternoon mixing strengthens. No major synoptic shifts are indicated before resolution, keeping implied odds aligned with stable summer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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