Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 5?
28°C 46%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
46%
29°C
30%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$350 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$85 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$147 Обс.
4%
27°C
$382 Обс.
19%
28°C
$751 Обс.
46%
29°C
$435 Обс.
30%
30°C
$243 Обс.
7%
31°C
$281 Обс.
3%
32°C
$457 Обс.
1%
33°C
$138 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$259 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,529Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,529Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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