Traders assign nearly equal weight to 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s August 3 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for a day dominated by showers. The southwest monsoon and associated convective activity are expected to limit insolation and produce frequent cloud cover, capping daytime heating near the seasonal average of 30–31°C while preventing stronger warming. Subtle differences in rain timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local sea-breeze strength can shift the peak by 1°C; ensemble spreads from global models currently favor the lower end of the 28–29°C range. Updated Hong Kong Observatory and NHC-adjacent guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
28°C 34%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
17%
28°C
34%
29°C
32%
30°C
9%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 34%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$797 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$11 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$562 Обс.
1%
25°C
$86 Обс.
1%
26°C
$112 Обс.
4%
27°C
$171 Обс.
17%
28°C
$134 Обс.
34%
29°C
$590 Обс.
32%
30°C
$298 Обс.
9%
31°C
$362 Обс.
5%
32°C or higher
$83 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s August 3 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for a day dominated by showers. The southwest monsoon and associated convective activity are expected to limit insolation and produce frequent cloud cover, capping daytime heating near the seasonal average of 30–31°C while preventing stronger warming. Subtle differences in rain timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local sea-breeze strength can shift the peak by 1°C; ensemble spreads from global models currently favor the lower end of the 28–29°C range. Updated Hong Kong Observatory and NHC-adjacent guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,206Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s August 3 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for a day dominated by showers. The southwest monsoon and associated convective activity are expected to limit insolation and produce frequent cloud cover, capping daytime heating near the seasonal average of 30–31°C while preventing stronger warming. Subtle differences in rain timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local sea-breeze strength can shift the peak by 1°C; ensemble spreads from global models currently favor the lower end of the 28–29°C range. Updated Hong Kong Observatory and NHC-adjacent guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,206Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to 28°C and 29°C for Hong Kong’s August 3 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance for a day dominated by showers. The southwest monsoon and associated convective activity are expected to limit insolation and produce frequent cloud cover, capping daytime heating near the seasonal average of 30–31°C while preventing stronger warming. Subtle differences in rain timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local sea-breeze strength can shift the peak by 1°C; ensemble spreads from global models currently favor the lower end of the 28–29°C range. Updated Hong Kong Observatory and NHC-adjacent guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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