Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will remain under hot, humid summer conditions through August 5, with daytime highs near 34–36°C supporting overnight lows clustered around 27–29°C. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover have sustained strong diurnal heating, reducing nighttime radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures above seasonal norms of about 26°C. Urban heat island effects in central districts further anchor readings in this range, while any scattered showers would provide only marginal relief. Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome reflects these stable patterns, with slight probability mass on 27°C or 29°C allowing for minor model variations in wind or humidity ahead of the official station reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
28°C 43%
27°C 26%
29°C 24%
26°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 26%
29°C 24%
26°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will remain under hot, humid summer conditions through August 5, with daytime highs near 34–36°C supporting overnight lows clustered around 27–29°C. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover have sustained strong diurnal heating, reducing nighttime radiative cooling and elevating minimum temperatures above seasonal norms of about 26°C. Urban heat island effects in central districts further anchor readings in this range, while any scattered showers would provide only marginal relief. Trader consensus on the 28°C outcome reflects these stable patterns, with slight probability mass on 27°C or 29°C allowing for minor model variations in wind or humidity ahead of the official station reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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