Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and European meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Moscow on August 5, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with possible passing showers, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the market leaders at 40% and 22.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 24°C but recent model runs show modest warming from a high-pressure ridge, tempered by Atlantic moisture. Key variables include forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could lower maxima by 1–2°C, alongside normal ensemble spread in short-range predictions. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 40%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
23%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$103 Обс.
1%
24°C
$94 Обс.
3%
25°C
$104 Обс.
9%
26°C
$210 Обс.
21%
27°C
$135 Обс.
40%
28°C
$149 Обс.
23%
29°C
$57 Обс.
7%
30°C
$101 Обс.
4%
31°C
$31 Обс.
2%
32°C
$15 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and European meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Moscow on August 5, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with possible passing showers, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the market leaders at 40% and 22.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 24°C but recent model runs show modest warming from a high-pressure ridge, tempered by Atlantic moisture. Key variables include forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could lower maxima by 1–2°C, alongside normal ensemble spread in short-range predictions. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,009Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and European meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Moscow on August 5, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with possible passing showers, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the market leaders at 40% and 22.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 24°C but recent model runs show modest warming from a high-pressure ridge, tempered by Atlantic moisture. Key variables include forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could lower maxima by 1–2°C, alongside normal ensemble spread in short-range predictions. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,009Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and European meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Moscow on August 5, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with possible passing showers, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the market leaders at 40% and 22.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 24°C but recent model runs show modest warming from a high-pressure ridge, tempered by Atlantic moisture. Key variables include forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing, which could lower maxima by 1–2°C, alongside normal ensemble spread in short-range predictions. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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