Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
36%
35°C
37%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$41 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$104 Обс.
1%
31°C
$69 Обс.
2%
32°C
$203 Обс.
4%
33°C
$647 Обс.
16%
34°C
$228 Обс.
36%
35°C
$772 Обс.
37%
36°C
$117 Обс.
11%
37°C
$58 Обс.
2%
38°C
$125 Обс.
4%
39°C or higher
$81 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,445Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,445Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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