Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
23°C 49%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
18%
23°C
49%
24°C
23%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$39 Обс.
1%
20°C
$32 Обс.
1%
21°C
$12 Обс.
3%
22°C
$78 Обс.
18%
23°C
$49 Обс.
49%
24°C
$111 Обс.
23%
25°C
$13 Обс.
4%
26°C
$183 Обс.
2%
27°C
$12 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$13 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$553Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$553Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate cloudy conditions on August 5 with minimum temperatures near the 23.9°C climatological normal, positioning the 23°C outcome as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability. Seasonal strengthening of the Pacific High typically suppresses nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity that limits temperature drops, aligning with short-term model consensus around 21–24°C lows. Above-normal summer temperatures expected across Honshu provide slight upward pressure reflected in the 24°C share, yet potential for localized cloud cover or weak frontal influences could favor the 22°C band. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date remain the key catalysts traders are monitoring.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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