Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 27–28°C under persistent high pressure and light northerly flow, with limited cloud cover and weak sea breezes keeping values close to seasonal norms of 28°C. Slight differences in moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara and minor timing shifts in daytime heating create the tight market spread between these two outcomes, while higher probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger southerly winds or clearer skies. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine boundary-layer conditions and narrow resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
28°C 42%
27°C 23%
29°C 19%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
24%
28°C
42%
29°C
19%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 42%
27°C 23%
29°C 19%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
1%
24°C
$21 Обс.
1%
25°C
$21 Обс.
6%
26°C
$18 Обс.
2%
27°C
$55 Обс.
24%
28°C
$29 Обс.
42%
29°C
$23 Обс.
19%
30°C
$18 Обс.
9%
31°C
$21 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$21 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 27–28°C under persistent high pressure and light northerly flow, with limited cloud cover and weak sea breezes keeping values close to seasonal norms of 28°C. Slight differences in moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara and minor timing shifts in daytime heating create the tight market spread between these two outcomes, while higher probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger southerly winds or clearer skies. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine boundary-layer conditions and narrow resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$226Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 27–28°C under persistent high pressure and light northerly flow, with limited cloud cover and weak sea breezes keeping values close to seasonal norms of 28°C. Slight differences in moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara and minor timing shifts in daytime heating create the tight market spread between these two outcomes, while higher probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger southerly winds or clearer skies. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine boundary-layer conditions and narrow resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$226Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centered near 27–28°C under persistent high pressure and light northerly flow, with limited cloud cover and weak sea breezes keeping values close to seasonal norms of 28°C. Slight differences in moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara and minor timing shifts in daytime heating create the tight market spread between these two outcomes, while higher probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger southerly winds or clearer skies. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will refine boundary-layer conditions and narrow resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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