Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 36%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
36%
30°C
30%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 36%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$21 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$10 Обс.
2%
25°C
$31 Обс.
2%
26°C
$101 Обс.
2%
27°C
$8 Обс.
8%
28°C
$5 Обс.
20%
29°C
$63 Обс.
36%
30°C
$78 Обс.
30%
31°C
$50 Обс.
7%
32°C
$32 Обс.
3%
33°C or higher
$32 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$432Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$432Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 6 maximum will most likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain risk. This reflects a brief warming spell from current 27°C readings, driven by regional high-pressure ridging and warm-air advection rather than strong solar heating alone. Differentiation between 28°C and 31°C hinges on subtle variables like afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could cap or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C underscore the anomaly, though short-range model spread keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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