Recent National Environment Agency (NEA) outlook for the first fortnight of August 2026 projects drier southwest monsoon conditions, with daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days and warm, humid nights above 27°C. This aligns with broader El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole influences promoting reduced cloud cover and enhanced solar heating across Singapore’s equatorial climate. Historical August averages near 31°C at Changi station provide context, yet localized afternoon thundery showers could cap peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus at 32°C (49.5%) and 33°C (38.5%) reflects these model signals two days ahead of August 4, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given typical convective limits and forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on August 4?
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Environment Agency (NEA) outlook for the first fortnight of August 2026 projects drier southwest monsoon conditions, with daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days and warm, humid nights above 27°C. This aligns with broader El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole influences promoting reduced cloud cover and enhanced solar heating across Singapore’s equatorial climate. Historical August averages near 31°C at Changi station provide context, yet localized afternoon thundery showers could cap peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus at 32°C (49.5%) and 33°C (38.5%) reflects these model signals two days ahead of August 4, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given typical convective limits and forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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