Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
17°C 51%
16°C 35%
18°C 10.9%
15°C 7%
НОВЕ
$30,382 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,382 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
35%
17°C
51%
18°C
11%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 51%
16°C 35%
18°C 10.9%
15°C 7%
НОВЕ
$30,382 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,382 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$186 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$292 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$1,677 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,621 Обс.
1%
15°C
$5,328 Обс.
7%
16°C
$8,241 Обс.
35%
17°C
$7,021 Обс.
51%
18°C
$3,911 Обс.
11%
19°C
$1,725 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$196 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$186 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,382Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30,382Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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