**Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs in the mid-80s under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph favoring peak readings near 84°F at LaGuardia.** Afternoon showers and thunderstorms (30–50% chance) and potential sea-breeze effects could reduce insolation and cap the maximum, tilting trader consensus toward the 82–83°F bin (52.5% implied probability) over 84–85°F (6.5%). Ensemble guidance shows narrow temperature spread given stable synoptic conditions and low precipitation odds through midday, with historical verification biases at the airport station reinforcing the lower range. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 65–70°F, but model consensus and cloud trends keep probabilities tightly balanced near the forecast lower bound.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 56%
80-81°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
84-85°F 7%
$45,702 Обс.
$45,702 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
56%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 56%
80-81°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
84-85°F 7%
$45,702 Обс.
$45,702 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$1,758 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,188 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$10,453 Обс.
2%
78-79°F
$5,229 Обс.
7%
80-81°F
$9,507 Обс.
31%
82-83°F
$7,953 Обс.
56%
84-85°F
$2,861 Обс.
7%
86-87°F
$1,643 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$1,110 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$1,343 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$658 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs in the mid-80s under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph favoring peak readings near 84°F at LaGuardia.** Afternoon showers and thunderstorms (30–50% chance) and potential sea-breeze effects could reduce insolation and cap the maximum, tilting trader consensus toward the 82–83°F bin (52.5% implied probability) over 84–85°F (6.5%). Ensemble guidance shows narrow temperature spread given stable synoptic conditions and low precipitation odds through midday, with historical verification biases at the airport station reinforcing the lower range. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 65–70°F, but model consensus and cloud trends keep probabilities tightly balanced near the forecast lower bound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,702Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs in the mid-80s under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph favoring peak readings near 84°F at LaGuardia.** Afternoon showers and thunderstorms (30–50% chance) and potential sea-breeze effects could reduce insolation and cap the maximum, tilting trader consensus toward the 82–83°F bin (52.5% implied probability) over 84–85°F (6.5%). Ensemble guidance shows narrow temperature spread given stable synoptic conditions and low precipitation odds through midday, with historical verification biases at the airport station reinforcing the lower range. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 65–70°F, but model consensus and cloud trends keep probabilities tightly balanced near the forecast lower bound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$45,702Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project highs in the mid-80s under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph favoring peak readings near 84°F at LaGuardia.** Afternoon showers and thunderstorms (30–50% chance) and potential sea-breeze effects could reduce insolation and cap the maximum, tilting trader consensus toward the 82–83°F bin (52.5% implied probability) over 84–85°F (6.5%). Ensemble guidance shows narrow temperature spread given stable synoptic conditions and low precipitation odds through midday, with historical verification biases at the airport station reinforcing the lower range. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 65–70°F, but model consensus and cloud trends keep probabilities tightly balanced near the forecast lower bound.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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