Recent official forecasts for Ankara indicate a daily maximum near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies and a persistent northerly breeze, which limits daytime heating and advects cooler air from higher latitudes. This setup, combined with the city's ~870 m elevation, has produced afternoon readings clustering between 24–26°C in model consensus and early observations, explaining the strong trader preference for 25°C at 67% implied probability. A modest warming trend into early September appears in longer-range guidance, but today's steering pattern and reduced insolation keep higher outcomes like 27°C or above at minimal odds. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 67%
26°C 25%
27°C 1.4%
24°C 1.0%
$27,525 Обс.
$27,525 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
67%
26°C
25%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 67%
26°C 25%
27°C 1.4%
24°C 1.0%
$27,525 Обс.
$27,525 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
67%
26°C
25%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Ankara indicate a daily maximum near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies and a persistent northerly breeze, which limits daytime heating and advects cooler air from higher latitudes. This setup, combined with the city's ~870 m elevation, has produced afternoon readings clustering between 24–26°C in model consensus and early observations, explaining the strong trader preference for 25°C at 67% implied probability. A modest warming trend into early September appears in longer-range guidance, but today's steering pattern and reduced insolation keep higher outcomes like 27°C or above at minimal odds. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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