**Trader consensus in the Ankara lowest-temperature market centers on a 15°C minimum, backed by 96% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources.** Overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 12–13°C, supports this outcome as temperatures stabilize in the 15–16°C range by early morning on August 30. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical overnight lows hover near 17°C but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler due to drier air masses. Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely from Ankara Esenboğa Airport; deviations below 15°C would require unexpected radiative cooling or measurement variance, while warmer advection remains unlikely given current steering patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
15°C 97%
14°C 30%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
$1,016 Обс.
$1,016 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
30%
15°C
97%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 97%
14°C 30%
12°C 4%
13°C 3%
$1,016 Обс.
$1,016 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$150 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$82 Обс.
4%
13°C
$96 Обс.
3%
14°C
$0 Обс.
30%
15°C
$215 Обс.
97%
16°C
$79 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$46 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$238 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Ankara lowest-temperature market centers on a 15°C minimum, backed by 96% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources.** Overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 12–13°C, supports this outcome as temperatures stabilize in the 15–16°C range by early morning on August 30. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical overnight lows hover near 17°C but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler due to drier air masses. Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely from Ankara Esenboğa Airport; deviations below 15°C would require unexpected radiative cooling or measurement variance, while warmer advection remains unlikely given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,016Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Ankara lowest-temperature market centers on a 15°C minimum, backed by 96% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources.** Overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 12–13°C, supports this outcome as temperatures stabilize in the 15–16°C range by early morning on August 30. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical overnight lows hover near 17°C but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler due to drier air masses. Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely from Ankara Esenboğa Airport; deviations below 15°C would require unexpected radiative cooling or measurement variance, while warmer advection remains unlikely given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,016Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Ankara lowest-temperature market centers on a 15°C minimum, backed by 96% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources.** Overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with northerly winds around 5–10 km/h and dew points near 12–13°C, supports this outcome as temperatures stabilize in the 15–16°C range by early morning on August 30. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical overnight lows hover near 17°C but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler due to drier air masses. Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely from Ankara Esenboğa Airport; deviations below 15°C would require unexpected radiative cooling or measurement variance, while warmer advection remains unlikely given current steering patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання