**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak temperature of 27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability.** Westerly winds at 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating, and low precipitation risk (under 10%) have moderated afternoon warming from current midday readings around 25°C. Models from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 26–28°C (81°F/27°C range), consistent with late-summer patterns where Munich's urban heat island effect and regional pressure gradients typically limit extremes absent strong high-pressure dominance. Historical averages near 22.6°C underscore the slightly elevated conditions driven by recent stable airflow, with no significant model revisions in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observations heavily in favoring 27°C over the lower-probability 28°C or 26°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 30?
27°C 78%
28°C 16%
26°C 5.1%
29°C <1%
$37,420 Обс.
$37,420 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
78%
28°C
16%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 78%
28°C 16%
26°C 5.1%
29°C <1%
$37,420 Обс.
$37,420 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$2,701 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$2,912 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$856 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,146 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,740 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$8,637 Обс.
5%
27°C
$7,959 Обс.
78%
28°C
$5,684 Обс.
16%
29°C
$1,918 Обс.
1%
30°C
$1,713 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$2,203 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak temperature of 27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability.** Westerly winds at 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating, and low precipitation risk (under 10%) have moderated afternoon warming from current midday readings around 25°C. Models from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 26–28°C (81°F/27°C range), consistent with late-summer patterns where Munich's urban heat island effect and regional pressure gradients typically limit extremes absent strong high-pressure dominance. Historical averages near 22.6°C underscore the slightly elevated conditions driven by recent stable airflow, with no significant model revisions in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observations heavily in favoring 27°C over the lower-probability 28°C or 26°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,420Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak temperature of 27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability.** Westerly winds at 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating, and low precipitation risk (under 10%) have moderated afternoon warming from current midday readings around 25°C. Models from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 26–28°C (81°F/27°C range), consistent with late-summer patterns where Munich's urban heat island effect and regional pressure gradients typically limit extremes absent strong high-pressure dominance. Historical averages near 22.6°C underscore the slightly elevated conditions driven by recent stable airflow, with no significant model revisions in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observations heavily in favoring 27°C over the lower-probability 28°C or 26°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,420Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a peak temperature of 27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability.** Westerly winds at 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating, and low precipitation risk (under 10%) have moderated afternoon warming from current midday readings around 25°C. Models from sources like WeatherBug and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 26–28°C (81°F/27°C range), consistent with late-summer patterns where Munich's urban heat island effect and regional pressure gradients typically limit extremes absent strong high-pressure dominance. Historical averages near 22.6°C underscore the slightly elevated conditions driven by recent stable airflow, with no significant model revisions in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and real-time observations heavily in favoring 27°C over the lower-probability 28°C or 26°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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