Recent weather model consensus, including GFS outputs, points to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and partial morning cloud cover with light rain clearing by afternoon. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C while falling short of recent warmer days near 26°C. Strong market-implied odds on 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble uncertainty and potential for brief afternoon clearing to allow slightly more solar heating, though official forecasts emphasize limited warming due to moderate winds around 10-20 km/h and residual moisture. Historical records show highs above 25°C occur in roughly one-third of years, supporting the tight clustering around 24-25°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 31?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 31?
25°C 67%
24°C 19%
26°C 12%
23°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
67%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 67%
24°C 19%
26°C 12%
23°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$1,580 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$497 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$114 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$119 Обс.
1%
22°C
$80 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$171 Обс.
3%
24°C
$201 Обс.
19%
25°C
$1,636 Обс.
67%
26°C
$472 Обс.
12%
27°C
$661 Обс.
2%
28°C or higher
$685 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus, including GFS outputs, points to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and partial morning cloud cover with light rain clearing by afternoon. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C while falling short of recent warmer days near 26°C. Strong market-implied odds on 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble uncertainty and potential for brief afternoon clearing to allow slightly more solar heating, though official forecasts emphasize limited warming due to moderate winds around 10-20 km/h and residual moisture. Historical records show highs above 25°C occur in roughly one-third of years, supporting the tight clustering around 24-25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,216Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus, including GFS outputs, points to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and partial morning cloud cover with light rain clearing by afternoon. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C while falling short of recent warmer days near 26°C. Strong market-implied odds on 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble uncertainty and potential for brief afternoon clearing to allow slightly more solar heating, though official forecasts emphasize limited warming due to moderate winds around 10-20 km/h and residual moisture. Historical records show highs above 25°C occur in roughly one-third of years, supporting the tight clustering around 24-25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,216Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus, including GFS outputs, points to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and partial morning cloud cover with light rain clearing by afternoon. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C while falling short of recent warmer days near 26°C. Strong market-implied odds on 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble uncertainty and potential for brief afternoon clearing to allow slightly more solar heating, though official forecasts emphasize limited warming due to moderate winds around 10-20 km/h and residual moisture. Historical records show highs above 25°C occur in roughly one-third of years, supporting the tight clustering around 24-25°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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