**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 31°C high for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, at near-certain implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity—driven by southeast monsoon flow—have limited solar heating and kept daytime maxima from exceeding this threshold. Official observations from stations such as Xujiahui recorded peaks near 31.8°C amid 80–90% relative humidity and light to moderate easterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology under these synoptic conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforced this range, with minimal diurnal warming expected once precipitation began. The outcome could shift only if an official reference station posts a final reading outside the 31°C bin due to microscale variations or post-processing adjustments, though current data make that highly unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$79,356 Обс.
$79,356 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$79,356 Обс.
$79,356 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$241 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$639 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,443 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$3,503 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$12,832 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$29,601 Обс.
100%
32°C
$17,205 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$8,168 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$4,070 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$422 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$233 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 31°C high for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, at near-certain implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity—driven by southeast monsoon flow—have limited solar heating and kept daytime maxima from exceeding this threshold. Official observations from stations such as Xujiahui recorded peaks near 31.8°C amid 80–90% relative humidity and light to moderate easterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology under these synoptic conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforced this range, with minimal diurnal warming expected once precipitation began.
The outcome could shift only if an official reference station posts a final reading outside the 31°C bin due to microscale variations or post-processing adjustments, though current data make that highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$79,356Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 31°C high for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, at near-certain implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity—driven by southeast monsoon flow—have limited solar heating and kept daytime maxima from exceeding this threshold. Official observations from stations such as Xujiahui recorded peaks near 31.8°C amid 80–90% relative humidity and light to moderate easterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology under these synoptic conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforced this range, with minimal diurnal warming expected once precipitation began.
The outcome could shift only if an official reference station posts a final reading outside the 31°C bin due to microscale variations or post-processing adjustments, though current data make that highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$79,356Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 31°C high for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, at near-certain implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity—driven by southeast monsoon flow—have limited solar heating and kept daytime maxima from exceeding this threshold. Official observations from stations such as Xujiahui recorded peaks near 31.8°C amid 80–90% relative humidity and light to moderate easterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology under these synoptic conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforced this range, with minimal diurnal warming expected once precipitation began. The outcome could shift only if an official reference station posts a final reading outside the 31°C bin due to microscale variations or post-processing adjustments, though current data make that highly unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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