**The South African Weather Service official forecast specifies a maximum of 18°C for Cape Town on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions turning fine, with moderate to fresh southerly to south-easterly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs at Cape Town International Airport typically range 10–18°C, and with real-time observations and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 16–17°C that support the 18°C threshold as the expected daily maximum. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 18°C reflects this authoritative forecast and the absence of signals for significant deviation, such as stronger warming aloft or reduced cloud cover. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak readings due to localized effects or measurement precision. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected southerly flow or increased cloud suppressing the high to 17°C or below, or clearer, warmer conditions allowing a brief spike to 19°C—though current SAWS guidance and hourly trends make these low-probability shifts. Resolution will depend on the verified official maximum from monitoring stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
18°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$27,113 Обс.
$27,113 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$27,113 Обс.
$27,113 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$1,126 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$412 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$354 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$1,752 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$4,292 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$7,788 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$4,893 Обс.
99%
19°C
$2,353 Обс.
1%
20°C
$626 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,729 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$1,788 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The South African Weather Service official forecast specifies a maximum of 18°C for Cape Town on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions turning fine, with moderate to fresh southerly to south-easterly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs at Cape Town International Airport typically range 10–18°C, and with real-time observations and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 16–17°C that support the 18°C threshold as the expected daily maximum.
Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 18°C reflects this authoritative forecast and the absence of signals for significant deviation, such as stronger warming aloft or reduced cloud cover. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak readings due to localized effects or measurement precision.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected southerly flow or increased cloud suppressing the high to 17°C or below, or clearer, warmer conditions allowing a brief spike to 19°C—though current SAWS guidance and hourly trends make these low-probability shifts. Resolution will depend on the verified official maximum from monitoring stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,113Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The South African Weather Service official forecast specifies a maximum of 18°C for Cape Town on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions turning fine, with moderate to fresh southerly to south-easterly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs at Cape Town International Airport typically range 10–18°C, and with real-time observations and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 16–17°C that support the 18°C threshold as the expected daily maximum.
Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 18°C reflects this authoritative forecast and the absence of signals for significant deviation, such as stronger warming aloft or reduced cloud cover. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak readings due to localized effects or measurement precision.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected southerly flow or increased cloud suppressing the high to 17°C or below, or clearer, warmer conditions allowing a brief spike to 19°C—though current SAWS guidance and hourly trends make these low-probability shifts. Resolution will depend on the verified official maximum from monitoring stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,113Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**The South African Weather Service official forecast specifies a maximum of 18°C for Cape Town on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions turning fine, with moderate to fresh southerly to south-easterly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs at Cape Town International Airport typically range 10–18°C, and with real-time observations and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 16–17°C that support the 18°C threshold as the expected daily maximum. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 18°C reflects this authoritative forecast and the absence of signals for significant deviation, such as stronger warming aloft or reduced cloud cover. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak readings due to localized effects or measurement precision. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-expected southerly flow or increased cloud suppressing the high to 17°C or below, or clearer, warmer conditions allowing a brief spike to 19°C—though current SAWS guidance and hourly trends make these low-probability shifts. Resolution will depend on the verified official maximum from monitoring stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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