Recent National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model guidance point to mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, 2026, with Central Park projected near 86°F amid humid southwest flow and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures while clearer intervals allow stronger diurnal heating. Southwest winds near 5-10 mph and dew points in the low 70s add moisture that may enhance instability without extreme heat buildup, consistent with early September climatology where averages hover around 80-82°F. Updated model runs over the next 24-48 hours will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 1?
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
18%
92°F or higher
9%
86-87°F 29%
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
7%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
28%
84-85°F
$14 Обс.
25%
86-87°F
$33 Обс.
29%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
25%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
18%
92°F or higher
$10 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model guidance point to mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, 2026, with Central Park projected near 86°F amid humid southwest flow and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures while clearer intervals allow stronger diurnal heating. Southwest winds near 5-10 mph and dew points in the low 70s add moisture that may enhance instability without extreme heat buildup, consistent with early September climatology where averages hover around 80-82°F. Updated model runs over the next 24-48 hours will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$58Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model guidance point to mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, 2026, with Central Park projected near 86°F amid humid southwest flow and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures while clearer intervals allow stronger diurnal heating. Southwest winds near 5-10 mph and dew points in the low 70s add moisture that may enhance instability without extreme heat buildup, consistent with early September climatology where averages hover around 80-82°F. Updated model runs over the next 24-48 hours will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$58Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model guidance point to mid-80s highs for New York City on September 1, 2026, with Central Park projected near 86°F amid humid southwest flow and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions create the tight spread in market-implied odds, as convective timing and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures while clearer intervals allow stronger diurnal heating. Southwest winds near 5-10 mph and dew points in the low 70s add moisture that may enhance instability without extreme heat buildup, consistent with early September climatology where averages hover around 80-82°F. Updated model runs over the next 24-48 hours will likely refine the maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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