Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 31?
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 36%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 7%
НОВЕ
$10,416 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,416 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 36%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 7%
НОВЕ
$10,416 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,416 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
$302 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$217 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$551 Обс.
7%
78-79°F
$1,971 Обс.
36%
80-81°F
$3,466 Обс.
41%
82-83°F
$994 Обс.
13%
84-85°F
$1,299 Обс.
4%
86-87°F
$270 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$340 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$325 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$681 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,416Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,416Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts project a high near 81-82°F for New York City on August 31, supporting the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Cooler northwest flow following Sunday's activity, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting southeast, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap temperatures in the low 80s. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on these conditions, with any morning showers or increased afternoon cloud cover able to differentiate the closely matched 78-79°F bin. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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