**Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 30, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight minimum near 70–72°F under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light southwest-to-northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational cooling typical of clear August nights, while the urban heat island effect around LaGuardia and Central Park stations further supports readings in this narrow range. Recent conditions show a stable late-summer pattern with daytime highs in the mid-80s and dew points in the upper 60s, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Ensemble guidance indicates low spread in minimum temperatures, with precipitation chances overnight reinforcing the elevated low. Clearer skies or a stronger wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward the upper 60s, but current observations and short-range models make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 30?
70-71°F 92%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 5.4%
66-67°F 2%
$6,028 Обс.
$6,028 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
92%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 92%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 5.4%
66-67°F 2%
$6,028 Обс.
$6,028 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
57°F or below
$93 Обс.
1%
58-59°F
$93 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$921 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$1,109 Обс.
5%
64-65°F
$372 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$479 Обс.
2%
68-69°F
$607 Обс.
16%
70-71°F
$1,652 Обс.
92%
72-73°F
$436 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$133 Обс.
<1%
76°F or higher
$134 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 30, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight minimum near 70–72°F under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light southwest-to-northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational cooling typical of clear August nights, while the urban heat island effect around LaGuardia and Central Park stations further supports readings in this narrow range.
Recent conditions show a stable late-summer pattern with daytime highs in the mid-80s and dew points in the upper 60s, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Ensemble guidance indicates low spread in minimum temperatures, with precipitation chances overnight reinforcing the elevated low.
Clearer skies or a stronger wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward the upper 60s, but current observations and short-range models make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,028Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 30, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight minimum near 70–72°F under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light southwest-to-northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational cooling typical of clear August nights, while the urban heat island effect around LaGuardia and Central Park stations further supports readings in this narrow range.
Recent conditions show a stable late-summer pattern with daytime highs in the mid-80s and dew points in the upper 60s, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Ensemble guidance indicates low spread in minimum temperatures, with precipitation chances overnight reinforcing the elevated low.
Clearer skies or a stronger wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward the upper 60s, but current observations and short-range models make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,028Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 30, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight minimum near 70–72°F under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light southwest-to-northwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational cooling typical of clear August nights, while the urban heat island effect around LaGuardia and Central Park stations further supports readings in this narrow range. Recent conditions show a stable late-summer pattern with daytime highs in the mid-80s and dew points in the upper 60s, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Ensemble guidance indicates low spread in minimum temperatures, with precipitation chances overnight reinforcing the elevated low. Clearer skies or a stronger wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward the upper 60s, but current observations and short-range models make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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