Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and thunderstorms forecast across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 31 are suppressing daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 25°C, aligning with the market’s leading 68.5% implied probability. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models (including Met Office and WeatherBug runs) consistently project daytime highs of 24–26°C amid 90–100% cloud cover, northeast winds of 5–10 mph, and heavy precipitation that promotes evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation. Historical late-August climatology for Incheon shows typical highs near 28°C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic setup featuring a lingering frontal system has lowered expectations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 30 continue to support this narrow 25–26°C range, with only modest upside risk if rain tapers earlier than projected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
25°C 68%
26°C 24%
27°C 8%
28°C 2%
НОВЕ
$42,905 Обс.
НОВЕ
$42,905 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
68%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 68%
26°C 24%
27°C 8%
28°C 2%
НОВЕ
$42,905 Обс.
НОВЕ
$42,905 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$13,327 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$261 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$524 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$2,505 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,987 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5,852 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$6,412 Обс.
68%
26°C
$3,542 Обс.
24%
27°C
$2,884 Обс.
8%
28°C
$2,896 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$2,715 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and thunderstorms forecast across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 31 are suppressing daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 25°C, aligning with the market’s leading 68.5% implied probability. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models (including Met Office and WeatherBug runs) consistently project daytime highs of 24–26°C amid 90–100% cloud cover, northeast winds of 5–10 mph, and heavy precipitation that promotes evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation. Historical late-August climatology for Incheon shows typical highs near 28°C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic setup featuring a lingering frontal system has lowered expectations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 30 continue to support this narrow 25–26°C range, with only modest upside risk if rain tapers earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,905Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and thunderstorms forecast across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 31 are suppressing daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 25°C, aligning with the market’s leading 68.5% implied probability. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models (including Met Office and WeatherBug runs) consistently project daytime highs of 24–26°C amid 90–100% cloud cover, northeast winds of 5–10 mph, and heavy precipitation that promotes evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation. Historical late-August climatology for Incheon shows typical highs near 28°C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic setup featuring a lingering frontal system has lowered expectations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 30 continue to support this narrow 25–26°C range, with only modest upside risk if rain tapers earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42,905Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and thunderstorms forecast across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 31 are suppressing daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 25°C, aligning with the market’s leading 68.5% implied probability. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models (including Met Office and WeatherBug runs) consistently project daytime highs of 24–26°C amid 90–100% cloud cover, northeast winds of 5–10 mph, and heavy precipitation that promotes evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation. Historical late-August climatology for Incheon shows typical highs near 28°C under clearer conditions, but the current synoptic setup featuring a lingering frontal system has lowered expectations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 30 continue to support this narrow 25–26°C range, with only modest upside risk if rain tapers earlier than projected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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