Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
27°C or higher 61%
26°C 28%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
28%
27°C or higher
61%
27°C or higher 61%
26°C 28%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$251 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$254 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$351 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$351 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$215 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$497 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$342 Обс.
1%
24°C
$325 Обс.
4%
25°C
$1,472 Обс.
7%
26°C
$995 Обс.
28%
27°C or higher
$3,215 Обс.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,267Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,267Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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