**Forecast consensus from official agencies and models centers the highest temperature for Seoul/Incheon on August 26, 2026, near 29–30 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project a daytime maximum around 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, high humidity (70–90 %), and a modest chance of drizzle or scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs average near 29 °C and persistent moisture plus cloud cover prevent stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 30s. Recent short-term updates show stable steering patterns with no rapid intensification or clearing expected, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C and explaining why lower or higher extremes carry minimal implied probability. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow forecast spread and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading recorded at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official agencies and models centers the highest temperature for Seoul/Incheon on August 26, 2026, near 29–30 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project a daytime maximum around 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, high humidity (70–90 %), and a modest chance of drizzle or scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs average near 29 °C and persistent moisture plus cloud cover prevent stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 30s. Recent short-term updates show stable steering patterns with no rapid intensification or clearing expected, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C and explaining why lower or higher extremes carry minimal implied probability. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow forecast spread and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading recorded at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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