**Persistent heat and limited overnight cooling from the North Pacific high are keeping the lowest temperature in Incheon (Seoul’s official station) centered on 25–26 °C for August 26.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and cross-checked forecasts (Met Office, WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 29 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds (3–6 kt), and high humidity (dew points 24–25 °C). These conditions suppress radiative cooling, sustaining near-tropical-night temperatures consistent with the ongoing heat-wave regime. Market-implied odds—26 °C at 54.5 % and 25 °C at 34 %—closely track this consensus. Probabilities drop sharply below 24 °C because no cold-air advection or stronger winds are expected to enhance cooling. Slightly warmer outcomes (27 °C+) carry modest weight only if cloud cover thins more than anticipated. With resolution occurring within hours and model runs stable, traders are pricing the most likely minimum at the upper end of the typical August climatological range (22–25 °C lows) given the current synoptic setup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 8%
27°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
55%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 8%
27°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$199 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$79 Обс.
1%
23°C
$120 Обс.
3%
24°C
$202 Обс.
8%
25°C
$96 Обс.
34%
26°C
$1,974 Обс.
55%
27°C
$63 Обс.
6%
28°C
$112 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$100 Обс.
1%
30°C
$100 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$100 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat and limited overnight cooling from the North Pacific high are keeping the lowest temperature in Incheon (Seoul’s official station) centered on 25–26 °C for August 26.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and cross-checked forecasts (Met Office, WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 29 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds (3–6 kt), and high humidity (dew points 24–25 °C). These conditions suppress radiative cooling, sustaining near-tropical-night temperatures consistent with the ongoing heat-wave regime.
Market-implied odds—26 °C at 54.5 % and 25 °C at 34 %—closely track this consensus. Probabilities drop sharply below 24 °C because no cold-air advection or stronger winds are expected to enhance cooling. Slightly warmer outcomes (27 °C+) carry modest weight only if cloud cover thins more than anticipated.
With resolution occurring within hours and model runs stable, traders are pricing the most likely minimum at the upper end of the typical August climatological range (22–25 °C lows) given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,147Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat and limited overnight cooling from the North Pacific high are keeping the lowest temperature in Incheon (Seoul’s official station) centered on 25–26 °C for August 26.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and cross-checked forecasts (Met Office, WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 29 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds (3–6 kt), and high humidity (dew points 24–25 °C). These conditions suppress radiative cooling, sustaining near-tropical-night temperatures consistent with the ongoing heat-wave regime.
Market-implied odds—26 °C at 54.5 % and 25 °C at 34 %—closely track this consensus. Probabilities drop sharply below 24 °C because no cold-air advection or stronger winds are expected to enhance cooling. Slightly warmer outcomes (27 °C+) carry modest weight only if cloud cover thins more than anticipated.
With resolution occurring within hours and model runs stable, traders are pricing the most likely minimum at the upper end of the typical August climatological range (22–25 °C lows) given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,147Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heat and limited overnight cooling from the North Pacific high are keeping the lowest temperature in Incheon (Seoul’s official station) centered on 25–26 °C for August 26.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and cross-checked forecasts (Met Office, WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 29 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds (3–6 kt), and high humidity (dew points 24–25 °C). These conditions suppress radiative cooling, sustaining near-tropical-night temperatures consistent with the ongoing heat-wave regime. Market-implied odds—26 °C at 54.5 % and 25 °C at 34 %—closely track this consensus. Probabilities drop sharply below 24 °C because no cold-air advection or stronger winds are expected to enhance cooling. Slightly warmer outcomes (27 °C+) carry modest weight only if cloud cover thins more than anticipated. With resolution occurring within hours and model runs stable, traders are pricing the most likely minimum at the upper end of the typical August climatological range (22–25 °C lows) given the current synoptic setup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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