Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
26°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
13%
21°C
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
26°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$23 Обс.
4%
19°C
$0 Обс.
8%
20°C
$0 Обс.
13%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
29%
23°C
$130 Обс.
25%
24°C
$23 Обс.
8%
25°C
$16 Обс.
9%
26°C
$0 Обс.
14%
27°C
$0 Обс.
2%
28°C or higher
$31 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$223Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$223Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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