Trader consensus evenly weights 27–31°C outcomes for Panama City’s August 25 maximum because regional forecasts cluster near the long-term August mean of ~30–32°C amid elevated instability. A tropical wave (No. 37) and associated monsoon trough are sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping projected highs around 29–31°C according to IMHPA and international guidance. Historical variability shows daily maxima rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 27°C in late August under similar convective regimes, so the narrow 4°C band around the climatological peak captures most model solutions. Traders will monitor the next model runs and satellite trends for any late-day clearing that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
27°C
$10 Обс.
3%
28°C
$5 Обс.
8%
29°C
$22 Обс.
11%
30°C
$0 Обс.
20%
31°C
$0 Обс.
28%
32°C
$31 Обс.
32%
33°C
$0 Обс.
4%
34°C
$0 Обс.
4%
35°C
$5 Обс.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus evenly weights 27–31°C outcomes for Panama City’s August 25 maximum because regional forecasts cluster near the long-term August mean of ~30–32°C amid elevated instability. A tropical wave (No. 37) and associated monsoon trough are sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping projected highs around 29–31°C according to IMHPA and international guidance. Historical variability shows daily maxima rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 27°C in late August under similar convective regimes, so the narrow 4°C band around the climatological peak captures most model solutions. Traders will monitor the next model runs and satellite trends for any late-day clearing that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$83Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus evenly weights 27–31°C outcomes for Panama City’s August 25 maximum because regional forecasts cluster near the long-term August mean of ~30–32°C amid elevated instability. A tropical wave (No. 37) and associated monsoon trough are sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping projected highs around 29–31°C according to IMHPA and international guidance. Historical variability shows daily maxima rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 27°C in late August under similar convective regimes, so the narrow 4°C band around the climatological peak captures most model solutions. Traders will monitor the next model runs and satellite trends for any late-day clearing that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$83Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus evenly weights 27–31°C outcomes for Panama City’s August 25 maximum because regional forecasts cluster near the long-term August mean of ~30–32°C amid elevated instability. A tropical wave (No. 37) and associated monsoon trough are sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping projected highs around 29–31°C according to IMHPA and international guidance. Historical variability shows daily maxima rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 27°C in late August under similar convective regimes, so the narrow 4°C band around the climatological peak captures most model solutions. Traders will monitor the next model runs and satellite trends for any late-day clearing that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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