Recent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 4?
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 13%
НОВЕ
$23,115 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,115 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 13%
НОВЕ
$23,115 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,115 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
$483 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$508 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$836 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,799 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$3,840 Обс.
16%
82-83°F
$2,249 Обс.
34%
84-85°F
$3,724 Обс.
37%
86-87°F
$3,001 Обс.
13%
88-89°F
$2,566 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$1,635 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$473 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,115Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,115Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and private forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light variable winds, placing the daily maximum close to the long-term Central Park average. Trader positioning reflects this tight range because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to boundary-layer moisture and any thin high-cloud interference that could limit peak insolation. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support moderate humidity without strong capping inversions, keeping the thermodynamic profile near seasonal norms following July’s extreme heat episode. Updated model runs through the afternoon and official NWS verification at Central Park remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 82–85°F brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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